Windows developers begin slow defection to Linux

Two years ago, the number of developers writing applications for the Microsoft Windows platform fell, while the opposite was true for Linux -- this has now become a trend.

Instead of the Web stealing away Windows Users, as people have predicted for years, it's Linux and handheld devices.

According to analysts at the Evans Data Corporation research house, 64.8 percent of North American developers are writing software for Windows, down from 74 percent only a year ago.

The decline in popularity of the world's most prevalent operating systems appears to coincide with the rise of Linux, as the number of developers targeting the open-source environment has gone up by three percentage points from 8.8 percent to 11.8 percent in the same year. The research group expects the number to drop another 2 percent in the coming year.

John Andrews, president of Evans Data, said this week that a shift away from Windows began about two years ago. "The data shows that this migration is now accelerating. Linux has benefited, but we also see corresponding growth in niche operating systems for non-traditional client devices," he said, adding that the development landscape was changing.

The popular notion among tech industry followers is that a more capable Web browser, able to run sophisticated applications either online or offline, will make the desktop operating system less important, if not irrelevant.

Many companies -- even Microsoft -- are taking up the idea of building a "Web, or cloud, operating system" for which developers can write online.

Even with more online applications, though, the Evans Data study notes that Windows desktop application development remains steady.

The study also predicted that, although Javascript is by far the most widely used scripting language among North American developers, Ruby would see a 50 percent increase in popularity over the next year.

In other findings, it seems that a third of developers are currently working with virtualisation, with more than 40 percent set to join them in the next year.

Microsoft was unable to comment by press time.

David Meyer reported for ZDNet UK from London

CNET News.com's Martin LaMonica contributed to this report.

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Talkback 3 comments

    Mmm Anonymous -- 04/07/07

    I hope this trend continues as these people are going to be the new support crew for the big change that is coming

    G.ho.st Anonymous -- 04/07/07

    I think the big change is coming from the Web OS concept which is very true especially for users who want to be mobile whether students at school, people at work or people at Internet Cafes. This will really make the desktop operating systems less important.

    Check out a major player in developing Web OSs-G.ho.st, the Global Hosted Operating SysTem, at http://G.ho.st. It provides a complete personal computing environment and works with third party Web applications.

    Kudos Anonymous -- 05/07/07

    The trend is also catching on in Africa. Its only a matter of time before Linux becomes the default system on Desktops.

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