Red Hat: Crisis to boost open source

The global economic crisis would provide a boost for open source software, Red Hat chief executive Jim Whitehurst claimed during a visit to Sydney this week.

Jim Whitehurst
(Credit: Red Hat)

Whitehurst, who stopped over down under as part of a tour of the Asia Pacific region, said in an interview with ZDNet.com.au that the crisis would cause companies to consolidate their technology infrastructure and reduce spending.

"So the bad news is when things get tight, people stop investing as much in the future," he said. "I would expect to see a slow down in spending for new functionality." However, the CEO said that this would cause more companies to consider open source software as an option.

"What I do know is that open source will be in much better shape coming out of [the financial crisis], that going into it relative to our propriety competitors," he said.

Whitehurst said that this was because open source software provided a better economic model for creating software.

However, Kevin McIsaac, a Sydney-based analyst for Intelligent Business Research Services, said he did not expect this to increase the market share of companies such as Red Hat.

"Do I think the financial climate will drive people towards Red Hat? Not in any great way," he said. "Do I think a deteriorating economic environment is good for open source? Probably [there will be] no great impact."

This was because enterprise level open source software presented significant costs.

"A lot of my customers who I have spoken to, have said that the support costs are really quite high ... a few people have commented on is how much cheaper Oracle support for Red Hat Linux was, than Red Hat itself," McIsaac said.

McIsaac suggested alternative ways of cutting costs: "One of the ways to cut your costs is simply to go and audit your licences and get rid of the ones you don't need."

He also warned IT managers to expect budget cuts. "The CFO will be coming into the CIO's office and saying, 'We need to find a way to cut costs'; smart CIOs will already have a plan in their top drawer."

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Talkback 7 comments

    Licence audit Anonymous -- 16/10/08

    "One of the ways to cut your costs is simply to go and audit your licences and get rid of the ones you don't need."

    Absolutely spot on! Should go something like this:

    BSD: check
    GPL: check
    MIT: check
    CDDL: check

    MS EULA: in the bin
    Oracle EULA: in the bin
    ...

    :-)

    "Do I think the financial climate will drive people towards Red Hat? Not in any great way,"

    Well, Whitehurst actually said that people will be more drawn to open source, not necessarily Red Hat. This includes things like CentOS, Ubuntu etc., for which one doesn't need to purchase support in order to receive timely updates.

    Dreamers!!! Anonymous -- 16/10/08

    In constricted financial times, businesses are generally not going to undertake infrastructure changes that will require lots of non-billable staff time and/or hiring of consultants. Very small businesses will generally not hire consultants for such purposes.

    Open source is not a free exercise for businesses. It requires the same amount of time and effort that other software requires to implement, the $ value of which dwarfs the license fees.

    When will the open source dreamers stop with their excuses. Other than in the areas where they have already made their marks (such as Apache), most programs will have to provide a quantum leap over existing proprietory software to wrest the market away - something must make it a no brainer (trivial to implement AND provides an order of magnitude improvement in business flow) for a business to decide upon, especially in hard times. In your dreams!!

    Also, most businesses can sit on their existing licenses for several years and so DO NOT have to spend any time or money on new licenses, let alone on learning new software. They are unlikely to be buying new equipment (with its newer software) because they will not be hiring staff.

    I am not against free software, but I think that the proponents of its universal application do not seem to grasp the idea that extensive free software will tend to spell its own doom!!

    Free is NOT a panacea. It undermines the market, rather than supporting it.

    Discount Anonymous -- 17/10/08 (in reply to #320114300)

    > Open source is not a free exercise for businesses. It requires the same amount of time and effort that other software requires to implement, the $ value of which dwarfs the license fees.

    This is a tired, tried and quite flawed argument. Just add all those licence fees over the years that a business is paying and you'll get yourself a nice little discount. Last time I checked, people still haggle to get themselves a few % discount on a house, car and what not. Why is it then unthinkable to want a discount on software, especially when times are tough?

    > Also, most businesses can sit on their existing licenses for several years and so DO NOT have to spend any time or money on new licenses, let alone on learning new software.

    A lot of proprietary software companies these days ask you to pay _yearly_ or you don't get patches (not even security fixes). And these tend to be the most expensive and crucial pieces of software that are make or break for a business.

    Nobody is claiming open source is a silver bullet. But, moving things to it does save money in the long run.

    In the long run Anonymous -- 17/10/08 (in reply to #320114358)

    "... in the long run."
    -----------------------------
    How long is that compared to the short-list, evaluate, select, negotiate, purchase, analyse, deploy framework that any business will need to make it a reality? How long is it compared to the actual length of the uncertainty associated with tubulent financial times? Timeframe of the changes occurring compared to the timeframe to change to accomodate them!

    I am not saying it is not a worthwhile execise, but is it likely to be undertaken when cash supplies are short? I'd say not, because there is substantial expenditure before getting to actually acquire the software.

    Actually, I think that any company that thinks it will make substantial savings by swapping core infrastructure software just because the replacement is 'free' are deluding themselves. It is a very minor part of the cost of change. There has to be substantial tangible functional benefits to make it worthwhile to change track. ROI calculations anyone?

    These are different to some student deciding whether to start using another OS or program. They will not have the weight of corporate infrastructure architecture and legacy application compatibility, in addition to motivating large numbers of staff, to accomodate.

    FREE is not enough reason for anything. It is the value of USING it compared to what is being used currently that IS the real measure of value of making a change. Look up 'Opportunity Cost' and recalculate the relative costs of change in light of that!

    ------------------------------------------------------------
    "Just add all those licence fees over the years that a business is paying and you'll get yourself a nice little discount."
    ------------------------------------------------------------
    That is fine if you could click your fingers and instantly everything is as if it had always been there. Then you would have a 'profit'. But that is NOT what we are discussing here. We are discussing people and businesses funding a change exercise, which I argue is substantially more than the cost of licenses per person. For example, if each person spends more than a day of total effort (in the first year) to adapt to using a new OS and office package, the OEM cost of MS Windows and MS Office has already been blown in lost productivity, let alone the cost of all the activities involved in determining if it is worth doing and implementing the alternatives.

    Also, most businesses have been able to sit on XP and MS Office 2003 for several years, so where is all the licence fees there?

    -------------------------------------------------------------
    " Last time I checked, people still haggle to get themselves a few % discount on a house, car and what not. Why is it then unthinkable to want a discount on software, especially when times are tough?"
    -----------------------------------------------------------------
    Yes, if you NEED another car or house. However, if it looked like you were likely to get a smaller income soon, would you just sell your current house or car and buy one a few % cheaper, only becuase it is cheaper?.

    You would be nuts not to factor in the costs of change into the evaluation of whether the exercise is worth it? Also, the cost of change of a house or car is only a fraction of the cost of the item, whereas, the cost of changing software is SEVERAL times (changing time into the equivalent wages rate) its cost. Whole different set of financial dynamics there!

    What a rant! Anonymous -- 18/10/08 (in reply to #320114383)

    WOW! I'm impressed.

    Well folks, stop looking for savings. You heard it here.

    Seeeking savings is valid, but stupid if you have to spend more than you will sa Anonymous -- 21/10/08 (in reply to #320114411)

    That was the topic!

    Spend to lower you costs NOW.

    Worse than poor reasoning? = no reasoning Anonymous -- 22/10/08 (in reply to #320114411)

    Why use reason, when you can just bypass the whole process by being dismissive!

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