Gates memo warns of 'disruptive' changes

Aiming to stir up the same kind of momentum as his Internet Tidal Wave memo of a decade earlier, Microsoft chairman Bill Gates has penned a memo outlining the challenges Microsoft faces from a host of online competitors.

"This coming 'services wave' will be very disruptive," Gates said in an October. 30 e-mail to top Microsoft employees. "We have competitors who will seize on these approaches and challenge us." [Read the full text of Gates' e-mail here.]

In the memo, Gates cites an earlier missive from Ray Ozzie, outlining the importance of tapping online advertising and services as new revenue sources. [Read the full text of the Ozzie e-mail here.]

"It's clear that if we fail to do so, our business as we know it is at risk," Ozzie wrote. "We must respond quickly and decisively."

Ozzie's memo, which was also seen by CNET News.com, includes a laundry list of missed opportunities for the software maker, citing competitive threats from rivals such as Google, Skype, Research In Motion and Adobe.

Ozzie notes areas that Microsoft could have led, such as Web-based applications, but where other companies are instead more heavily focused.

"We should've been leaders with all our web properties in harnessing the potential of Ajax, following our pioneering work in OWA (Outlook Web Access)," Ozzie wrote. "We knew search would be important, but through Google's focus they've gained a tremendously strong position."

In the memo, Ozzie talks about Google as Microsoft's most prominent of the emerging competitors, but also makes reference to Yahoo and Apple Computer.

"Google is obviously the most visible here, although given the hype level it is difficult to ascertain which of their myriad initiatives are simply adjuncts intended to drive scale for their advertising business, or which might ultimately grow to substantively challenge our offerings," Ozzie wrote. "Although Yahoo also has significant communications assets that combine software and services, they are more of a media company and--with the notable exception of their advertising platform--they seem to be utilising their platform capabilities largely as an internal asset.

"The same is true of Apple, which has done an enviable job integrating hardware, software and services into a seamless experience with dotMac, iPod and iTunes, but seems less focused on enabling developers to build substantial products and businesses," Ozzie wrote in his memo.

He also makes reference to smaller, emerging companies that are developing software and services that use the Internet, rather than Windows, as their base platform.

"Developers needing tools and libraries to do their work just search the Internet, download, develop and integrate, deploy, refine," Ozzie wrote. "Speed, simplicity and loose coupling are paramount."

At the same time, Ozzie sees an opportunity if Microsoft can create a Web-based development platform.

"The work of these startups could be improved with a 'services platform'," Ozzie said. "Ironically, the same things that enable and catalyse rapid innovation can also be constraints to their success. "

Microsoft has talked of a developer platform in conjunction with Windows Live, but the company has offered few details of how third parties will be able to build on top of Microsoft's work.

Microsoft has already reorganised the company and outlined some of its plans, but the two memos make clear the urgency and importance that the company is placing on this effort.

The company announced in September that it was reorganising itself into three units and tapping Ozzie to lead a companywide services push. Last week, Microsoft announced the first fruits of that effort--products called Windows Live and Office Live. Windows Live combines many of Microsoft's existing MSN services into an advertising-supported product for consumers, while Office Live is a set of services, some free and some paid, aimed at small businesses.

He also points to the fact that although Microsoft's Office is ubiquitous, it is Adobe's PDF file that has emerged as the key means of sending formatted documents on the Web. Microsoft is proposing its own rival to PDF, known as Metro, with Windows Vista, its new operating system that is due out next year.

Gates says that despite the threats, "the opportunity for us to lead is very clear."

"More than any other company, we have the vision, assets, experience, and aspirations to deliver experiences and solutions across the entire range of digital workstyle & digital lifestyle scenarios, and to do so at scale, reaching users, developers and businesses across all markets."

Details of the memo were reported earlier Tuesday by the Wall Street Journal.

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Talkback 6 comments

  1. Don't make me laugh Anonymous -- 10/11/05

    Anyone else chuckle when reading about their 'missed' opportunities? The reason they never 'pounced' on AJAX is cause they never let go of the idea that activex would be the future web standard. They haven't supported dhtml standards for years. AJAX is happening *despite* their best efforts to make it incompatible everywhere. Good luck w/the lame PDF replacement.. yeh, that's really what the world has been waiting for.

  2. May have missed the boat Anonymous -- 10/11/05

    At this point a "Web-based development platform" already exists, and MS doesn't own it. Between Java and AJAX, there's less and less reason to buy into the MS model. And I expect between the Mass. decision on ODF and some MS exec seeing Zimbra that they're getting nervous.

  3. OpenOffice Anonymous -- 10/11/05

    All this would not be so bad if Microsoft weren't so obviously greedy. They don't just want market share, they want the entire internet. Quite frankly, that's not realistic. Furthermore, how much would you trust a thrice-convicted company when they do get market share?

    Most importantly, how long before OpenOffice gets ported as a web-based equivalent to "Office Live"? When this happens - without all the sleazy advertising - I think you'll see Microsoft shares drop another 40%.

  4. OWA as a model of AJAX? NO. Anonymous -- 10/11/05

    "We should've been leaders with all our web properties in harnessing the potential of Ajax, following our pioneering work in OWA (Outlook Web Access)," Ozzie wrote. "We knew search would be important, but through Google's focus they've gained a tremendously strong position."

    OWA is a pioneer of simulating a windows application IN Internet Explorer and it does use AJAX style interaction with the server without refreshing the browser. That does mean it's close to what it's trying to emulate now with Google where they really started the idea that the web can be more interactive, more fluid.

    My company use OWA as the remote VPN mail solution and I laugh at how slow it is every time I use it (Forget about dial ups). GMail on the other hand works on any bandwidth. That's AJAX.

    Another point is because Goggle AJAX apps do not bias against any browsers, which unlike OWA.

    So honestly you can play catch up, but you are attacking the wrong front by abandoning your core asset, it's still Windows. As far as the strategy sound, some reports are right. Microsoft is the new IBM. Whether Microsoft as an elephant can dance or not, that's another question all together :-).

  5. "Disruptive changes" or Innovation? Paul S Adams -- 10/11/05

    Isn't it funny when Microsoft make any sweeping change it is called "innovation", but when anyone else introduces a change - irrespective of how gently - it is labelled "disruptive".

    Bill's greatest qualification continues to be "spin doctor".

  6. It's open standards and specifications, not missed opportunities! R. Scott Smith -- 13/12/05

    Again, Microsoft as missed the boat on the notion that open standards and specifications are what has made the grade in technology in recent years. I hope they continue with the same sort of "vendor lock in" paradigms they've had because it and it alone is what is ultimately going to destroy their market share. This concept is illustrated by the success of Open Office, Java, Mozilla, Linux, PDF, and so on. It's not going to be MS Word documents or some other new, unnecessary standard to replace PDF that is going to get users' support because customers are starting to understand the ramifications and risks inherent with "vendor lock in" and closed standards. Open standards are cheap insurance for computer users. Executives are starting to understand this and plan accordingly. Why choose to store your valuable data in a format or standard that can be dropped at anytime on the whim of one company? Adobe PDF as enjoyed enormous success because of the openness of their specification. I think Microsoft will eventually catch on to this, but only after they are convinced that they will fail otherwise. Judging from this memo, they are a long ways from shifting their paradigm.

    So... I see nothing on the horizon to change the way Microsoft operates. They are the same company they've always been, and will continue on with the same sort of "innovations" you've come to expect from Microsoft.

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