Anti-Linux response: The FUD-slinging continues

"FUD is the fear, uncertainty, and doubt that (originally) IBM sales people instill in the minds of potential customers who might be considering competitors products." The idea, of course, was to persuade them to go with safe IBM gear rather than with competitors' equipment. This implicit coercion was traditionally accomplished by promising that Good Things would happen to people who stuck with IBM, but Dark Shadows loomed over the future of competitors' equipment or software. -- New Hacker's Dictionary

OPINION-- In producing a response to Josh Mehlman's recent piece regarding our Linux vs. Windows: Total Cost of Ownership Study (which showed that Linux as 34 percent less costly than Windows to run) I wanted to make a few clarifications and highlight some issues, as well as provide some context and reasoning as to why the study was undertaken.

Firstly, the company which produced the report in question is not a firm of analysts, but 'in-the-trenches' techies, who have over a decade's experience in managing and supporting both platforms. My own personal experience with Windows started with version 2.0/386, in the late 1980s, and with Linux in the early '90s.

Throughout much of this time, our customers have traditionally used Windows desktops and Unix/Linux network infrastructure. The past nine months, however, has seen a dramatic increase in the number of existing and potential new customers indicating that they are looking seriously at small or medium-scale, non-infrastructural deployments of Linux desktops and terminals. Many of these customers approached us with the question: "How much will we save if we move groups, departments or the whole company to Linux?" The study in question started as a brief report in pursuit of an answer.

Perhaps another motivator in our undertaking this research was as a response to Microsoft's claims that the cost of software licensing was a virtual non-entity in the overall calculation of IT budgetary expenditure, accounting for a mere few percent. Our experience with many clients indicated otherwise.

As a statement to establish some veracity and integrity, I can categorically state that Cybersource received no payments to research and produce this or any other report. Few supposedly 'independent' analysts can claim likewise. Reports of Microsoft's backdoor funding of research institutes which subsequently release anti-Linux reports are legion.

While it is true that we lean towards Linux/Unix and Open Source solutions, this has evolved as a preference based on our collective experiences and quality of the technology, preferences which were not infused within the report itself. As for financial incentive, our fee schedule for Windows platform support is identical to that of Linux.

Josh's opinion piece (and readers who sleight him in any way for his opinions should have more common sense and courtesy) claimed that the report was anti-Microsoft FUD, but he doesn't actually indicate fault with the numbers given nor the process by which they were arrived at.

As is outlined clearly in the report, we began with a premise of a core set of functional requirements, and set out to meet those requirements with products and technologies which were sourced from the Microsoft or from the Linux arenas: operating systems, applications suites, development tools, e-commerce systems etc. We also referenced and invoked any ancillary technologies which these systems or services required: DNS, SQL, firewall and proxy servers for instance. We then set out finding verifiable and reproducible sources for pricing or costs for each component, along with hardware, staff, consultancy, networking costs, and all the other line items we added within the study. We found substantial evidence (from the anti-virus companies) that while it is possible to produce a Linux virus, they are rare-to-nonexistent in the real world, so we therefore indicated likewise within the study.

Also, in no way did we impute that one platform was more reliable than the other, nor that one GUI was usable than the other, or that one was higher performance, as none of these attributes could be independently verified, and we would have had to resort to personal-empirical or anecdotal evidence, clearly inappropriate content-matter.

As for the issue of higher levels of retraining for the Linux option, we handled this in two ways. Firstly, Linux-trained staff were enacted to operate these systems, being efficient in their deployment and support, thus obviating any problems with pre-existing knowledge, experience or training for the systems administration. As for the desktop, where Josh claims a "time and training burden" for Linux, our own research and discussions with a number of organisations in the US, Korea, Finland etc indicates that "minimal or no retraining" of end-user staff is needed to migrate non-power-users from Windows to Linux. Specifically, discussions with the IT Manager for Mastertrade (an appliance wholesaler with 47 branches across New Zealand) indicate that for their migration of 300 workstations, no retraining was required.

On this point, I recommend that ZDNet Australia consider sponsoring an independent study into how easily a group of Windows users can perform a set number of day-to-day business tasks on a modern Linux workstation, with no training and with no help. This can be achieved by establishing a benchmark metric of tasks, such as opening documents, making changes, saving as HTML, embedding spreadsheets, saving the final document, sending it as an attachment, browsing the Web, etc. Results can then be generated to determine how much these users are able to achieve, with no re-training, and with no assistance.

Finally, the fact that corporate desktop users may be stymied from substantially tinkering with their Linux workstation, or installing non-SOE software, is a positive attribute. Linux desktops are very amenable to being locked-down very tightly, helping reduce support costs.

Josh also claims that "a company buying 250 copies would pay considerably less" due to volume discount. I disagree. Take for example the recent Victorian government licence deal, for 40,000 Victorian public servants, which deploys essentially the same software as was reported in our TCO study. We calculated a cost of around AU$2,000 per user for the Microsoft solution option.

The Victorian government deal, which one would expect (at 40,000 users) should attract the highest possible discount, worked out to cost AU$80 million, or AU$2,000 per user, and this did not include licence costs for the pricey Exchange email technology, as the Victorian government uses Lotus Notes for that task.

In all, this indicates that perhaps our cost estimation for the Microsoft option was possibly a conservative under-estimate, and the real cost for 250 users is likely to be much higher.

We shouldn't however concentrate solely on cost, as Otto Schily, Minister of the Interior of the Federal Republic of Germany, said in a statement about his country's recent policy decision to adopt Linux and Open Source.

"We raise the level of IT security by avoiding monocultures; we lower the dependency on single software vendors; and we reach costs savings in software and operation costs."

In fact, it is this final point that now needs to be expounded. If, as the study has shown, many, perhaps most, organisations can accrue substantial financial benefits through the partial or total adoption of Linux and open source software, what remains to convince government and business to move wholesale to Linux? Are existing implementors of IT within these organisations the remaining roadblock? Are they concerned about, as Australian art historian Robert Hughes famously pronounced during a corresponding period within the art world, "the shock of the new"? Would faster progress be made if the study results were presented to financial and non-IT executive company officials, in the language and format they know and understand, rather than to IT staff? Would many of the businesses worldwide presently suffering economic hardship (and shedding staff) benefit financially from such a move to Linux? I welcome your responses.

Con Zymaris (conz@cyber.com.au) is the CEO of Cybersource Pty. Ltd. a long-standing IT & Internet Professional Services company.

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Talkback 10 comments

    It does not surprise me that a ...Sam Varghese -- 11/06/02

    It does not surprise me that a number of articles trying to paint Open Source/Linux in a bad light have appeared over the last month. Remember that the deadline for signing up for Microsoft's Licnsing scheme is July 31.

    Gartner tried to discredit Open Office. ZDNet tried to discredit the Cybersource study. The Alexis de Tocqueville institution (AdTI) has released a study that is full of specious arguments about the dangers of using open source. And we have John Carroll on ZDNet talking about the very (un)real limitations of Open Source.
    Dr Goebbels, anyone?

    Strikes me that a lot of people who profit from proprietary software are running scared. This is a method which has been tried many times in the past and has failed.

    David Skoll has a scathing response to the AdTI study which tells proprietary software houses what they should do - Adapt. Or die.

    Whenever I read any of these a ...Anonymous -- 11/06/02

    Whenever I read any of these articles quoting "real numbers" I always rememer my wife's grandfather's saying.
    "Numbers are like bad women. Once you get them down you can do anything with them"

    Well Microsoft would disagree ...Scott Middleton -- 11/06/02

    Well Microsoft would disagree with you.

    No matter how much analysis is ...Anonymous -- 12/06/02

    No matter how much analysis is done or what anybody says about different Operating systems (OS) it is the OS that has to prove itself.
    Linex is not as user friendly as Windows and it is not at this stage for an average home user.
    Having this in mind, people who make decision in the businesses or corporates are the average users (and of course their families and their friends) and are not Linux users. It would be hard to convince them to change to Linux even with cost saving promises.

    To: Sean K. You introduce 'hom ...Con Zymaris -- 12/06/02

    To: Sean K.

    You introduce 'home users' into the eqution. The report makes no mention of home users; it is far removed from the core focus.

    Let me re-iterate.

    We were interested in business-grade desktop systems. For that line of business, Linux desktops are just as viable and as user-friendly as Windows desktops, in almost all cases; the exceptions being were there are no Linux versions of custom applications.

    If you have not tried a recent version of Linux (say Red Hat 7.3, with KDE 3.0) for a at least a month, then you cannot make the claims you make above. If you _have_ tried this platform, then please enlighten us as to how Windows is a more user-friendly desktop platform by comparison. Be very specific.

    I have used both recent versions of Windows, and of Linux, and I cannot claim one makes a superior 'user-interface' environment over the other. They each have some advantages, and some dis-advantages. Overall, they both provide a viable desktop experience to business-class users. Also, please note my reference within the opinion-piece with respect to the fact that Linux is much harder for the average desktop user to 'muck up', which has a dramatic effect in decreasing help desk workload. While this may not be an advantage for a home user setting, it's a boon to business and corporate users.

    The mention of home users in t ...Anonymous -- 12/06/02

    The mention of home users in the above comments is partially valid if not really relevent.

    In the scenario of the article, remember, there is a _competent_ _network_ _administrator_ to set up the sytem and make any major changes (as opposed to any per-user gui customisation etc). The user-end is just as easy as windows if not more so (just look at KDE3), but it is fair to say that some things in linux system admin are more difficult at present, largely due to the requirement to know where to look for things and what program does what. This is a non-issue for an end user on a system configured by an admin.

    I would reccomend linux for a home user with a competent technical person within easy reach, say a child or spouse, but not for someone with nobody to call for help. Hopefully this will change over time with better hardware vendor support and more comprehensive, consistent GUI tools for system administration and configuration.

    As an example, I've just set one of my housemates up with a 486 that network-boots, loads X, and connects to a remote X appserver to run a full-featured modern, friendly GUI. The computer doesn't even have a hard-disc, and the appserver is the firewall. I haven't had to touch the config since I set it up, and my housemate has had no trouble with day-to-day "office" tasks, email, web browsing, etc. This is a very similiar situation to that in the article.

    I think it is high time that w ...Anonymous -- 13/06/02

    I think it is high time that we had major studies on TCO done by all so-called "It industry analysts" who claim that there are there "mysterious" hidden costs.

    I do somewhat agree with peopl ...Anonymous -- 13/06/02

    I do somewhat agree with people's comments regarding home and non-techie users of Linux distros that initially Linux appears less user friendly. I believe this to be caused by the "desktop clutter" that appears after a standard installation of Redhat or Mandrake for example. There is too much stuff to choose from in menus etc. ! Also I still think there is more work to go into the "user experience" of the Linux desktops (KDE, Gnome etc.). I feel that whilst Open Source environments are driven by geeks and techies this is lesser a priority. This is certainly an area Microsoft have invested a lot of time, effort and money in; look at XP from a non-techo user perspective.

    However I think this will change, driven by the wedge of Microsoft's upgrade licencing cost, which will now become very expensive for both the average Joe and organisations to stay current. This is allowing an angle for "user experienced" focussed vendors to enter the market profitably, like Lindows.

    Can UNIX/Linux derivatives really enter the mass market for everyone else ? Yes, take a look at Apple's OS X. After a week with it I had to go looking for the Terminal emulator to find a CLI to believe I really was running UNIX ! It's like pinching yourself in a dream... Apple has always been focussed on the user experience and look at the outcome. It will happen and when it does I think the "average user" really will have choice, and that must be the best thing for the IT industry as a whole.

    Rob.

    Picture this scenario; What wo ...Anonymous -- 05/07/02

    Picture this scenario;

    What would happen if a device became available that you could place in you petrol tank which would make your car run on Air? In addition, it would reduce wear and increase your mileage. (You may now re-think the need to upgrade your car and spend your money elsewhere). On top of this, the device was for free. Of course, you could modify and improve the device, but you would have to make these changes available to everybody else. You could however charge somebody your time involved in inserting and maintaining this device into their petrol tank. If you are purely a motorist and found all of this “too geeky” then you could pay somebody to do all of the work for you. Would you go for it? How would the oil companies, governments, car manufacturers etc react to this?

    What would happen if an operating system and application software became available, for free! It would pretty much achieve what you are doing now and allow you to hang onto that PC for a bit longer since there is no real need in upgrading your hardware any more, unless you wanted to take advantage and of some new device or truly wish to make you OS and applications run faster. (You can even resurrect some of those old clunkers kicking around the garden shed). You will be the one to choose if and when you need to upgrade your hardware, OS and applications. You will have full access to the source code and will be free to change and modify the OS and the applications to suit whatever requirements you may have, but you must make these changes available to everybody else. Of course you can charge for your services in helping others with the installation and maintenance of this software. If you are purely a user and found all of this “too geeky”, you could pay somebody to do this for you, hopefully any new PC would have this pre-installed and configured – ready to go. Would you go for it? What would the major software supplier (there really is only one), chip manufacturers, IT stalwarts feel about this?

    This whole discussion about who is more “user-friendly” and the pros and cons of Linux vrs Windows (Holden vrs Ford or Beta vrs VHS) is completely irrelevant. At the end of the day, it is all about doing the same thing in perhaps a slightly different way. The real paradigm shift here is the concept of open source. Corporations and Governments will not be able to ignore the trend toward open source – there is just too much money at stake. This business model is now firmly in place and growing, it can’t be stopped. The IT community has no say in the matter and will fall in line, like it or not. So unless there is an open source MS-Windows real soon, get ready for Linux – its coming to a workstation near you.

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