Harnessing broadband's potential



With the growing adoption of broadband connections in businesses and homes, content providers need to start thinking about how to cater to broadband audiences. Is the broadband user significantly different? What are the killer apps for broadband audiences? And what do content providers need to think about to cope with the new demands?

Broadband technology provides new opportunities, but also new challenges to Australian Web businesses. Although broadband is growing, Australia currently lags well behind the rest of the world in broadband deployment, according to Gartner research director Geoff Johnson.

-We're still doing the plumbing, and Singapore did it four years ago. How many Internet years is that?," he asks.

-Given that we've already got an Internet economy that's narrowband, and plenty of adoption of it, we really haven't made that broadband leap. We could have done it with cable four years ago but we got lost in the Foxtel-Optus silly sideshow. Singapore had cable modems in the middle of '97 and DSL by Christmas '97. We're still getting the plumbing right."

However, not everyone believes Australia is so far behind the rest of the world.

-I suspect that's not actually true," says John Ellershaw, chief technology officer of broadband consultancy Quadtel.

-Numbers are very hard to come by because a majority of broadband customers in Australia are still cable modem customers. The cable modems are owned by Telstra and Optus and they're exclusive users, so they don't have to tell anyone and they're not telling anyone."

Ellershaw estimates that the number of cable modem customers is between 50,000 and 70,000 and the number of ADSL customers at between 15,000 and 20,000. This is higher than Gartner's estimate of 67,000 customers combined at the end of last year, however it represents a much smaller proportion of the population than other countries. Only 0.4 percent of the Australian population has a home broadband connection at the end of last year. This compares with 7.2 percent in Canada, 5.8 percent in Korea, 2.4 percent in Singapore, and 2.1 percent in the US. However, predictions are that by the end of this year, broadband users will have grown to 346,000 and ADSL will have overtaken cable, according to IDC research.

If Australia is lagging, this has significant implications for Australian businesses, because it impacts strongly on our export of professional services, says Johnson.

-Australia has got a reputation in two areas: we do a lousy job of manufacturing elaborately transformed manufactured goodsââ,¬"we import all the hardware. What we do a good job of is we're a sophisticated end user and we export our professional services skills.

-It's a global economy, it's a service economyââ,¬"we all trade, we all compete. Korea is killing us. Singapore and Hong Kong are very capable. Here we are at home, clunking around with ISDN and a bit of Frame Relay, while the world is ripping ahead with DSL. Applications around the world are being written assuming this infrastructure exists; we're not even playing with it yet. How are we going to get leadership?"

-As long as Australia lags behind the rest of the world in infrastructure, this will be a barrier to developing innovative and competitive services," says Johnson.

-We've still got the plumbers in messing around at the transport level, nobody's going to be in there, assuming it's wallpaper and doing interesting applications making money because they've got a business built on it."

Despite this barrier, it's still important to start making plans now.

-Given the infrastructure is slow to market, that just means you've got to get your business plan together," says Johnson. -If there is a gap, you've got to figure how to make it up."

He believes the infrastructure problems are going to go away quite rapidly, anticipating this happening sometime this year. -By about the end of first quarter next year there will be enough coverage of exchanges with DSL that it won't be an issue. In the US they assume bandwidth is cheap and bandwidth is there to burn, so the applications are inefficient, but they get them out the door in a hurry. If there's any doubtââ,¬"throw bandwidth at the problem. -We've never had that luxury because of our pricing, but we've got to start thinking about those techniques. The packages we buy from overseas are based on that infrastructure, and the services we'd like to sell in Asia and around the world are based on that infrastructure, but it doesn't exist here."

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Talkback 6 comments

    Have the authors and commentat ...Anonymous -- 31/08/01

    Have the authors and commentators overlooked a significant thread in their weaving of the 'Harnessing broadbands's potenital' canvas?

    I have a domestic broadband Internet connection, I have video on demand and I receive my TV signal from my broadband service provider. Is it Telstra? No. Am I a bleeding-edge 'early adopter'? No. Is it expensive? No.

    I'm just another TransACT subscriber (and loving it).

    I would have liked to see the TransACT experience mentioned in the article, because they seem to be an 'aware' bunch with a clear vision of how the potential of broadband can be harnessed.

    Now if only FoxTel could see the light and become a TransACT content provider!

    We never learn. We are repeati ...Keith Styles -- 31/08/01

    We never learn. We are repeating the errors of the 70's & 80's all over again. Those errors were caused by our monopoly telco, The PMG Dept,Telecom,Telstra who fails to see that 100% of nothing is NOTHING. They want to control all the infastructure and end user equipment, to protect their business plans, believing that will ensure them a great cash flow. Talk about pea brain thinking! Their behavour leaves us trailing the rest of the world due to lack of competition which means.. stagnation.
    Remember the total lack of high speed modems? and the old 30cps clunkers we had to put up with in the 70's & 80's. It took a concerted effort on the part of the business community to break down the stranglehold Telecom (Telstra) had over the deployment of new technology. They were judge, jury & executioner!!
    We are once again in the same mental cesspool of tunnel visioned thinking. Why are cable and ADSL modems so expensive. Answer; because the Telcos control their deployment. Let the modem be a commodity item, off the shelf, in all the department stores and the end user will take to it like a duck to water. Sales increase and prices FALL. In case Telstra doesn't recognise this simple fact; supply and demand increases sales and reduces prices. One doesn't need to be a Phd to figure it out ! Why didn't ISDN sell. Answer; because it was overpriced, monopoly controlled and technology which was for years unique to Australia. Small market..High prices !!
    The same is true of the cable and ADSL marketing strategies of both Telstra and Optus. Telstra must bear most of the responsibility for this major flaw in thinking tho. All pricing is based on Telstra pricing policies which has resulted in a small market and very poor service.
    Why? because their is NO competition. Its a vicious circle which won't be broken, until the Telstra monopoly is removed!!

    Telstra has done, and is in th ...Anonymous -- 31/08/01

    Telstra has done, and is in the process of doing enormous damage to Australia's infrastructure.

    I blame Telstra for their abuse of their monopoly position and I blame the current government for having had great input in creating the current situation.

    With all the hype aside who ne ...John -- 02/09/01

    With all the hype aside who needs broadband?

    I read your article as soon as ...Martyn -- 06/09/01

    I read your article as soon as I had finished reading about how my Cable modem isn't working today because I use the Mac OS and live in NSW. When i read that Telstra don't know what the problem is or when it will be fixed forgive me if I don't have any enthusiasm for Broadband acceptance if its in the hands of Telstra and the current redneck government.

    How can the government be launching a campaign to encourage broadband content when it and Telstra are doing everything to thwart people spending more time on the net. Capped downloads, capped access speed and poor reliability...someone explain to me how this will kickstart online shopping or how Australia will ever catch up to the rest of the world in broadband technologies.

    I am temporarily living in the ...Phil Friend -- 16/10/01

    I am temporarily living in the US and have cable modem to my home. The Americans have the advantage that in the metro areas, both access technologies ( twisted pair and cable) are connected to every home. However, coverage is not even universal here. DSL is is unable to reach a large proportion of the population ( conservative 20% is beyond the 18000 foot limit). Maybe its more. A lot of people I talk to can't get DSL. Even for all this, its still $50 per month to get connected with DSL or Cable modems, $40 if you supply your own modem which are available from electronics stores. With all this, the claim is penetration in the US is still only 2%. I think Aus is doing well to have to have 0.4% given that cable has to be installed and Telstra doesn't seem to think broadband is a priority ( shame, shame, shame). But if you think that broadband should be cheaper, ask yourself, who is going to pay? The network won't be installed for free and the internet bandwidth has to be paid for. If you want broadband, the industry in the US is assuming that the consumer will cough up $120-150 for their telephone, video and data services. All you can eat services are failing left right and centre and the wise ones are charging. Look at iPrimus decisions lately. Look at what has happened to Excite@Home which offered unlimited bandwidth. Do Australian's want to do pay for bandwidth or is live away from a TV set or computer too good? My basic point is that the service providers will roll out broadband if people will pay for it.

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