Fiorina is out, but confusion remains

commentary When history looks back on the tenure of Carly Fiorina as the CEO of HP, the conclusion is likely to be that she was charismatic, but tried to compensate for the lack of a consistent vision through a lot of acquisitions and management changes.

Corporate reorganisation has been the dominant constant in the past five and a half years at HP. First came the attempted buyout of PricewaterhouseCoopers Consulting for US$18 billion in 2000, in an attempt to better compete with IBM. High-end consulting services -- that was the thing that would boost HP's profits. IBM later grabbed the company for about a third of the price.

Then came the Compaq acquisition of 2001 to 2002. The deal would allow HP to gain heft and better compete with Dell. It would also let HP compete in the lower end of the services market, which HP execs said was actually more attractive than the high-end market they attempted to enter only a year before.

Even at the start of the long acquisition process, HP couldn't resolve the contradictions. Months before the merger was announced, HP executives said buying a PC maker wasn't a good idea. When the Compaq deal was unveiled, HP said Compaq really wasn't a PC maker, though half of the company's revenue came from servers and desktops.

When HP passed Dell in PCs because of the merger, HP trumpeted that it had brought competitiveness back to the marketplace. When Dell surpassed HP and the gap grew, HP claimed that it wasn't really interested in being number one in PCs, anyway. The margins were too low.

Along the way, a painful pattern began to emerge. HP would have a terrible quarter, missing earnings because of a shortfall in one division or another. Fiorina would then vow that heads would roll. Some executives -- voluntarily and involuntarily -- such as Howard Elias, Mary McDowell and Jeff Clarke, would then depart while the company reorganised into new divisions.

Two to three quarters of recovering revenues and profits would return. HP executives and some analysts would declare that the turnaround had begun.

Then a dismal quarter would follow. Layoffs and reorganisations would be announced while a new way to gain higher margins (industrial printing, patent licensing, enterprise servers, a good number two to IBM, a good number two to Dell), would be announced. It was like hearing the reading of the same MBA class project over and over.

There was a cultural dimension to Fiorina's often rocky tenure as well. She came from Lucent Technologies, the AT&T spinoff. Not only was AT&T a giant, but it was the last bastion of feudalism in the Northern Hemisphere. (Ironically, Fiorina majored in medieval history.) The company ran on a rigid hierarchy. Competitive battles were won through financial heft and strength, and a lot of energy was dedicated toward internal company battles.

By contrast, the HP of the time seemed to be run from the bottom up. The founders used to eat in the cafeteria. Engineers were continually reminded about their importance to the company. The complaint heard most from executives and analysts was that HP moved slowly because decisions were made by consensus.

So when HP started increasing the number of corporate jets, and rumours surfaced about how Fiorina traveled with a security detail and hairdressers, conflicts between management and the rest of the company began to emerge. And the lack of consistent performance certainly wasn't going to silence the grumbling.

I obtained an insight into Fiorina's management style on the November 2002 day former Compaq CEO Michael Capellas resigned. We all sat at a small, circular table. We asked Capellas why he resigned. "I can answer that," she said, speaking for him.

On the other hand, HP could have been a lot worse off. Without the Compaq acquisition, HP wouldn't have the server market share it has now. Fiorina had to have something to do with the fact that it went much smoother than most other acquisitions.

She also had to balance the insistence of Wall Street and the public that HP distinguish itself from competitors with the painful reality that somebody has to be number two. For five and a half years, she kept the company from getting too depressed about that fact.

Fiorina also brought a celebrity quality to HP. She could carry an audience in keynote speeches and was always a great person to interview, although she was occasionally vague. "Before Fiorina, HP was two steps ahead of Burroughs," said one executive this morning, referring to the faded business machines giant.

Finding a new CEO is never easy, either. At about the same time that Fiorina became HP's CEO, Gateway had put its future in Jeff Weitzen's hands. Then again, Hector Ruiz turned AMD from being a one-man show with a history of hiccups into a consistent performer.

In further analysis, Fiorina's record will have to stand on tangible accomplishments, not on whether she helped HP avoid potentially bigger problems that never occurred. And the tangible record is somewhat sparse.

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Talkback 2 comments

    IBM *DID NOT* purchase PricewaterhouseCoopers. Rather, they bought a very small subsidiary of the accounting firm which engaged in consultancy. How stupid are you?Anonymous -- 12/02/05

    IBM *DID NOT* purchase PricewaterhouseCoopers. Rather, they bought a very small subsidiary of the accounting firm which engaged in consultancy. How stupid are you?

    Fiorina annoyed me when she made insensitive remarks about American Software Engineers and their future job security. According to National Public Radio, She presided over seventeen thousand layoffs when HP bought Compaq. HP is now seeking to restore its Anonymous -- 13/02/05

    Fiorina annoyed me when she made insensitive remarks about American Software Engineers and their future job security. According to National Public Radio, She presided over seventeen thousand layoffs when HP bought Compaq. HP is now seeking to restore its image as a company that cares about its employees.

    I would be interested in hearing from Australians on the state of Computer Programming in their country. It is still in a shambles in the USA. Please put Australian programmer in the subject line so that I don't delete it as spam.

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